New modelling suggests that NSW – as well Victoria and ACT – should have confidence that opening up will be ‘okay’ at 70 to 80 per cent double vaccinated
Professor Tony Blakely, Hassan Andrabi, Dr Tim Wilson


The New South Wales ‘Roadmap to Recovery’ proposes an initial easing of restrictions for those who are fully vaccinated at 70% double-dose vaccine coverage of 16+ year-olds. We use an agent-based model to estimate the likelihood that restrictions can be eased safely and successfully, and the extent to which a successful transition depends on the compliance of unvaccinated individuals with differentially strict restrictions.


Full article
First published: Oct 6, 2021
Population Interventions Unit
The Population Interventions Unit is a research group at the University of Melbourne that investigates health and cost impacts of population interventions.